Absolutely, I do. And yes, a person can. My spreadsheets from the past 20 years prove it big wins every single year. You’re right. Play a game with negative expectation, and you’ll lose money in the long run. Period. Blackjack with basic strategy and betting schemes? That’s a negative EV play. Straight up. Progression systems whether positive or negative are all negative EV in the long run. No exceptions. The math is crystal clear.
But here’s the thing: Advantage Play techniques, like card counting, give you a legitimate edge. With that, you should make money long term. Sure, you need to consider bankroll, risk of ruin, and variance. But with a solid bankroll and smart play, you’ll generate EV and eventually see positive AV. EV is Expected Value your hourly edge. AV is Actual Value your real money profit. For some, AV is the fun, freebies, and perks. It’s all relative.
